A well-known scientist in Greece referred to a mathematical model of the development of the next “unrestrained” wave of the pandemic. Over the past five days, new records of coronavirus infection have been recorded daily in Greece — on Friday there were 40.5 thousand cases, and the omicron strain became the predominant in the country.
According to Sariannis, the upward trend will continue until January 20-22, the average weekly level will reach 66 thousand cases of infection. This means in practice that there may be days when there will be 80 thousand and even 100 thousand cases of coronavirus per day, said Sariannis, according to whom the calculation of the average weekly level is a more accurate method compared to the daily one.
“Thus, on February 20, a month after the peak of the omicron wave, its decline will already end. Then the average weekly number of cases of infection will be 3500 – 4000 cases. Then we will have the end of omicron, and a very large part of our society will have immunity,” Sariannis said.
Perhaps, in his words, this will be the last “growl” of the coronavirus.
“But even if omicron is the last jump of the coronavirus that we are observing, which is very likely, the logic of complacency should not prevail in any case, that they say we will all easily get over it and finish,” the scientist added.