A group of researchers led by Zakharov has developed a mathematical model of CIR (Confirmed cases, Infected, Removed – English “confirmed cases”, “infected”, “excluded” – recovered or deceased), which, due to new methods of predicting future values of its parameters, makes it possible to more accurately predict the spread of coronavirus for up to a month. In October, the authors presented data on the effectiveness of the model in the scientific journal “Informatics and Automation”. “Our model predicts that by February 1, the number of newly detected daily cases of coronavirus infection in Russia may reach 65 thousand. At the same time, the total number of identified cases will exceed the threshold of 11.5 million people,” the scientist told TASS. He also noted that, according to calculations, by February 1, the number of people simultaneously suffering from covid in the country will reach 1 million people. Today, the number of so-called
