The North Korean threat
The US authorities consider the possibility to send to the coast of the Korean Peninsula the aircraft carrier “Ronald Reagan”, F-22 fighters and a nuclear submarine. Such steps can be taken against the background of recent statements by the DPRK about a successful test of a hydrogen bomb. In 2006, 2009 and 2013 DPRK has conducted tests of nuclear warheads, but the country’s hydrogen bomb known nothing. How to change the military rhetoric of North Korea — in the photo gallery “Kommersant”.
The threat of force — a favorite method of all North Korean rulers to seek and enjoy economic, financial and food aid from abroad. Whenever Pyongyang started to sound emphatic statement in the capitals of the countries concerned (especially in Beijing, Seoul, Tokyo and Washington) was preparing to record the requirements of the North Koreans and experts fended off journalists ‘ questions about the inevitability of war pejorative: “Yes, just North of the rice ran out!” Missile tests and nuclear tests in the obvious way scared and pissed off all the neighbors of North Korea. The feature of the North Korean missile program is that by learning how to launch missiles, North Korea seems to have not learned to control their further flight. And the rocket could fall on the territory of any of the neighboring States.
31 August 1998, launched from the landfill to the East coast missile “baekdu-1” launched into orbit Sputnik “kvanmenson-1” which, as noted by the local press, was there for about two years. 5 APR 2009 with the same polygon with the help of the carrier rocket “ynha-2” was launched artificial experimental communication satellite “kvanmenson-2”. Pyongyang declared it a success, however, the Russian means of tracking space to be detected “kvanmenson-2” in space and could not.
The aggravation of the situation on the Korean Peninsula, provoked by North Korea, is most likely political motivated. The propaganda machine, designed to create a heroic biography of Kim Jong-UN, faced with an unprecedented shortage of material from which to build the myth of a new great leader.
This is why Pyongyang does not give up its nuclear and missile programs. It is the only more or less ambitious projects with which to associate the name Kim Jong-UN.
In April 2012, the DPRK military made rocket launch “ynha-3” (“milky way”) dedicated to the centenary of the birth of founder Kim Il sung. The start was a failure: the rocket fell apart and crashed into the ocean minutes after launch.
Newspaper “Rodong Sinmun”, February 2013: “Marshal Kim Jong-UN… supervised flight training and parachute exercises… He gave the order combined military units and air defense force No. 630 to test their combat capability… the Pilots quickly and accurately conducted training on takeoff and landing with roads under combat conditions, invented by the Marshal.” Then followed reports of management of sea and land maneuvers. Messages became more and more. The apotheosis of steel frames transmitted KCNA worldwide, about the approval of Kim Jong Ynom plan a nuclear attack on the United States.
The intensity of anti-American propaganda, which is celebrated now observers in North Korea, impossible to ignore. Especially in North Korean propaganda rhetoric has a new explanation. Earlier in the papers about the readiness to die defending the Motherland, now it is not about protection, but about the attack.
In 2006, North Korea launched into the US missile “Taepodong-2”, which fell in the economic zone of Nakhodka.
“Rodong Sinmun” April 26, 2013: “the power of our army peaked under the leadership of Kim Jong UN. Brilliant Songun commander, he will lead to victory in the current sharp confrontation with the United States, the nuclear confrontation of the XXI century. Will reply merciless nuclear strike on the nuclear blackmail of the U.S. and a full-scale war of aggression of the USA! Is the consistent position of our party”.
Ballistic missile “Musudan” was put on the launch pad in early April. Pyongyang, frustrated by introduction against it new sanctions, as well as large-scale exercises, the US and South Korea threatened to strike U.S. bases in the region, South Korea and Japan. It is believed that the “Musudan”, whose range, according to the estimates of Western intelligence agencies, up to 4 thousand km, can hit targets on Okinawa and GUAM, where there are large US military bases. In addition to the threat of a missile launch by Pyongyang in April announced its withdrawal from the agreement on a cease-fire with Seoul, and experts talk about a possible war on the Korean Peninsula.
In may 2013, North Korea was removed from the launch pads two ballistic missiles “Musudan” that Pyongyang threatened to launch on South Korea and US bases in the region.
Then in the Yellow sea began exercises the U.S. Navy and South Korea. Their purpose was stated “training to prevent the penetration of enemy submarines.” DPRK authorities called the maneuvers as “a hostile action and military provocation.”
In October 2013, the North Korean authorities rejected the proposal to sign a nonaggression Pact with the United States, threatening “retaliation” and “decisive battle” with America. New attack Pyongyang was made in response to past off the southern coast of the Korean Peninsula naval maneuvers of the United States, South Korea and Japan, with the participation of the nuclear aircraft carrier George Washington. In addition, Pyongyang conducted its own Navy exercises, which was watched by North Korean leader Kim Jong UN.
Relations between the Koreas worsened especially in 2010, when in the Yellow sea a North Korean torpedo had sunk the Cheonan Corvette of the naval forces of South Korea. Experts said that the operation was arranged to maintain the heroic image of Kim Jong-UN, who had recently received the title of General of the army.
In April 2013, North Korea announced the withdrawal of its workers and halt work on the complex of Kaesong when tensions on the Korean Peninsula increased sharply. Calls on Seoul to sit down at the negotiating table to renew the work of the industrial zone, the North Korean Minister of unification Ryu Gil-Jae said that North Korea will not do it “empty and meaningless action.” As explained by Mr. Ryu, the cooperation was terminated due to the joint military exercises in South Korea and the United States off the coast of the Korean Peninsula. The DPRK has regarded these maneuvers as aggression. The Minister added that Pyongyang will not go to the talks, while Seoul will not abandon “its confrontational policy.”
In December 2013, North Korean leader Kim Jong UN issued new threats against South Korea, calling on the army to be ready for “war without warning.”
However, in February 2014, the representatives of the DPRK and South Korea for the first time in seven years held talks at a high level. At the meeting at the border crossing at Panmunjom discussed the details of the plan for the reunification of families separated by the Korean war, bilateral relations deteriorated due to the plans of Seoul to participate in military exercises of the United States.
In the event of an attack by the DPRK in Washington and Seoul, according to The New York Times, has developed several scenarios. If North Korea are shelling the territory of South Korea, the South will be followed by retaliatory artillery strike with the same force. If North Korea will launch a missile that will target South Korea, Japan or GUAM, tries to knock in the first seconds of flight. If the rocket will fly in the sea, down will not.
To the two existing pillars of the North Korean ideology of Juche (invented by Kim Il Sung) and Songun (invented by Kim Jong Il) was added another, which has already been attributed to Kim Jong Ynu,— the policy of parallel development of nuclear forces and of the national economy.
“For many years, our economic progress has lagged behind. We had to spend enormous human and material resources to strengthen the defense, and not to send it all to improve the lives of our people. But now we have a nuclear deterrent,” — said “Rodong Sinmun”, explaining why the development of the military nuclear program of the DPRK is so necessary for the welfare of the people: “the New strategic line is the crystallization of boundless loyalty to Kim Jong UN the revolutionary cause.”
The last steps of Kim Jong UN show: hopes for a liberalization of the regime that was associated with the name of the new leader, did not materialize. A Scion of the Kim dynasty chose the more familiar path of a crackdown and total mobilization, trying to beat the grandfather and father.
In December 2015, during a visit to the updated weapons plant in Pyongyang, Kim Jong-UN announced that North Korea has its own hydrogen bomb. The head of North Korea said that his grandfather Kim Jong-Il “has turned the country into a powerful nuclear power, ready, relying on their own strength, to detonate atomic and hydrogen bombs to defend the sovereignty and dignity of the nation.” 6 January 2016, presumably, the DPRK conducted a test of a hydrogen bomb. Fact a powerful explosion that caused the earthquake of a magnitude of 5.1 points was confirmed by sources in the United States and South Korea.
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