What game is trump with the project “Arab NATO”?
USA is probably working on a project of the Alliance to them a few friendly middle Eastern countries to counter the military expansionism of Iran and terrorism.
“Atlantico” – the USA is probably working on a project of the Alliance to them a few friendly middle Eastern countries to counter the military expansionism of Iran and terrorism. It may include Egypt, Jordan, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, UAE and Qatar. In this perspective, the Pentagon is preparing a summit, to be held on 12 and 13 October this year. But whether such an Alliance the chances of success? That could put the project at risk?
Jean-Sylvestre Mongrene: Although all these countries are Arab and Sunni, we are talking about a very heterogeneous group. Jordan is closely connected with the Persian Gulf countries and, in particular, gets help from Saudi Arabia and the UAE. By the way, is the first king of Jordan spoke in 2004 of a “Shiite Crescent” and drew attention to the Iranian threat. Egypt it is difficult to suspect of special love for Iran, but this country is at the crossroads of Africa and the Middle East: its diplomacy turned simultaneously in the direction of the Maghreb (situation in Libya), East Africa and Gaza with the Palestinian territories (Hamas is considered an enemy), not to mention the situation in the country (Sinai). Egypt participates in the Arab coalition that is fighting with the Houthis in Yemen, but it takes cautious stance on account of this transaction. In any case, the inclusion of Egypt in the Arab Alliance could become a factor of equilibrium, since the weight of Saudi Arabia in the cooperation Council States of the Persian Gulf Emirates raises concerns about satellitario. In addition, threats to the Bab-El-Mandeb Strait, and therefore of the Suez canal, directly related to Egypt.
From many points of view, the containment of the Iranian Shiite ambitions and, therefore, efforts to establish a military Alliance of the Arab countries are passed on to members of the Council.
Undermining the monarchies of the Shiite jihadism or some form of hybrid war, as well as closing the Strait of Hormuz (this geostrategic path is 30% of total world oil exports) would change the regional and global balance. The Council was formed in 1981 to a goal in response to a threat to freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz the Islamic revolution and had become a military-political Alliance. Anyway, dark game Qatar, which led to the blockade on 5 June 2017, to give an idea of the lack of unity in the Council. In addition to Qatar some connection with Iran is also Kuwait and Oman. At the same time, Saudi Arabia, UAE and Bahrain expressed a desire to contain Iran’s Shiite imperialism. Geopolitical analysis suggests the need for a differentiated approach.
Because of its territory, the demographic weight of the oil reserves and the role of OPEC Saudi Arabia deserves great attention, especially that inspired by the success of the UAE Muhammad bin Salman has announced a massive modernization program.
Although this Wahhabi “Caliphate” it’s really important to step out of the past, such a transformation carries significant risks. At the same time the West would do well to rethink on the policy of the UAE, diversify their economies, the willingness to participate in the fight against terrorism and the Iranian-Shia claims. Their involvement in operations in Yemen, also deserves more attention. Do not underestimate the geopolitical importance of this country, which is located in the neighborhood with the Sunni monarchies and the trade routes between Europe and Asia. UAE anticipate open conflict with Iran and projecting influence beyond the Persian Gulf, in order to break the Iranian stranglehold on the Gulf of Aden and the Strait of Hormuz. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed have agreed on a common strategy, and the UAE is a strong point to deal with the Iranian threat.
— If this Alliance is to exacerbate divisions in the region and strengthen the rift between Iran and other countries, as noted by one Iranian diplomat in an interview with the Agency “Reuters”?