The President of Sudan was left without foreign aid
Why the Republic did not become a second Venezuela.
In Sudan, January 31, resumed the protest. And it happened after the authorities ordered the release of all those detained during the unrest, which began in December. Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir accuses of destabilizing the situation “external forces”. However, foreign governments are not interested in the fact that in Sudan, repeated in Venezuela and the Libyan scenario and give Africa every assistance, both economic and Advisory. So, this week in Moscow confirmed the fact of working in the Sudan, the Russian military instructors.
Demonstration called “the Grand offensive” was held in Khartoum and several other towns of the Sudan. The initiator was the Association of the Sudanese trade unions that spearheaded the protest movement, pushing from the first position of the traditional opposition party. Among the marchers were teachers of universities and schools, doctors, engineers. The organizers called on his supporters to March peacefully. But a military response could not be avoided: the police used to disperse the demonstration with tear gas.
The protests began on 19 December in the city of Atbara, about 350 km from Khartoum, because of the decision of the government three times to raise the price of bread and cut subsidies.
People learned about the higher prices, rushed to buy up pellet, but not enough at all. The protests have spread across the country, and not all of them were peaceful. Demonstrators attacked banks, police stations and other institutions. By the end of January, according to official data, in clashes with security forces killed about 30 people, 200 injured. The opposition claims that the death toll reached 50 people.
“In Sudan is to hold a protest, including under the slogan “al-Bashir — a bloody dictator.” However, it is unacceptable to attack the police, other authorities, to deal with vandalism”, — told “Kommersant” associate Professor of the Department of General history of RSUH Sergei Seregichev.
According to him, the Sudanese authorities, remembering about the previous coups, and civil wars, trying to prevent bloodshed, often entering into dialogue with the protesters, go on some concessions. As a result of the decision to raise bread prices, and the payment of subsidies, and resumed the work of the universities (at the beginning of the protests, classes were cancelled). Internet no disabled, although the President of Sudan, speaking at a rally of his supporters, which was held simultaneously with the protest, said:
A change of government or President can not be made through WhatsApp or Facebook. This can be done only through elections.
The economy of Sudan for decades is on the verge of collapse. But this problem is not limited. For years the conflict continued between North and South Sudan still have not ended the conflict in Darfur. In 2005, Omar al-Bashir took first place in the “world’s worst dictators”, compiled by us magazine Parade, with support from international human rights organizations. And in 2008, the international criminal court issued a warrant for the arrest of Sudanese President on charges of genocide in Darfur. However, Omar al-Bashir remains in power (since 1989 and President since 1993) and does not exclude that will run for election in 2020.
Experts believe that the unrest may be part of the ruling elite that is dissatisfied with the decision of Omar al-Bashir to run again for President. “These people believe that such a step will not contribute to the removal of us sanctions Sudan and worsen the country’s position in the socio-economic sphere”, — said Mr. Seregichev. However, the US don’t seem to object to the Sudanese President remained in power.
“The fall of al-Bashir not beneficial to anyone — neither in the region nor outside it”, — says Sergey Seregichev.
“The U.S. position is that we do nothing for the salvation of al-Bashir, but we finger and stir to help the opposition to take him down”, he added. According to the expert, Washington is interested in cooperation with Khartoum in the struggle against terrorism. In particular, Sudan is the largest in North-Eastern Africa, the centre of electronic intelligence Agency, the national security of the United States. In addition, a great Sudanese intelligence agents in the ranks of terrorist groups, including the “Islamic state” (banned in Russia), as the Sudanese are in its ranks of a significant percentage. The expert noted that Americans value this cooperation although not yet removed Sudan from the list of countries that support terrorism and did not charge him penalties.
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According to the interlocutor “”, on Washington’s position affects the interest of the Egyptian leadership in the preservation of power in the Sudan. While the Sudanese regime and ideologically close hated Cairo movement “Muslim brotherhood” (banned in Russia), but at the same time, between presidents of Sudan and Egypt have an unspoken agreement that Abdel-Fattah al-Sisi is holding back the Sudanese opposition, and Omar al-Bashir, the Egyptian “brother” who found refuge with their Sudanese supporters. Support the Sudan at the same time and regional antagonists such as Qatar and Saudi Arabia. Only last week, Omar al-Bashir visited Doha, and immediately after that the king of Saudi Arabia sent their trade Ministers and communications in Sudan to develop a plan for assistance to Khartoum. Sudan also adopted the proposals of Russia and Turkey on assistance. Speech, in particular, supplies of wheat and fuel. Such support does not interfere with Omar al-Bashir accused of supporting the Sudanese opposition by external forces. According to Sergei Seregichev among them may be those associated with Saudi Arabia, although officially, it helps to Khartoum.
Meddling in Sudanese Affairs, but on the side of the President, suspected and Russia.
In early January, the British newspaper the Times wrote that the presence of Russian mercenaries of private military companies (PMCs) “Wagner” in Khartoum during protests “has raised fears that the Kremlin is moving to support the autocratic regime of President al-Bashir”. And the Ukrainian security Service has published this week a list of 149 people who, according to her, participated in the suppression of anti-government protests in Sudan.
The Kremlin and the Russian foreign Ministry confirmed that Russian military advisors actually work in the Sudan. “It’s all in the framework of the Russian-Sudanese bilateral relations, it is absolutely legitimate,” — said the press Secretary of the President Dmitry Peskov. And the Russian President’s special envoy on the Middle East and Africa, Deputy foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov said that in the Sudan are “both private and state structures.”