What experts expect from the talks between Putin and Biden

Can & nbsp; & nbsp; & nbsp; & nbsp; be able to relieve tension in & nbsp; the Ukrainian question, what other topics can arise for & np & nbs; & nbsp; ; something & nbsp; in & nbsp; Russian-American relations from & nbsp; the time of the previous meeting & nbsp; & mdash; about & nbsp; this & laquo; Vedomosti & raquo; asked experts.

Director of the Franklin Roosevelt Foundation for the Study of the United States at & nbsp; Moscow State University Yuri Rogulev:

“ The problem of tension in the & nbsp; Ukrainian direction will be resolved quickly, since this tension itself was artificially whipped up by the American media through & nbsp; announcements of & ldquo; Russian invasion & rdquo;, although & nbsp; not & nbsp; without & nbsp; a demonstration of force from & nbsp; by Russia & raquo ;.

Tensions were largely whipped up just to calm everyone “by Christmas” and end it tomorrow with a “breakthrough” agreement with Putin, creating the image of a “peacemaker” for the American president, since Biden is well aware of the futility of pressure on the Russian leader. How quickly the situation with the meeting agreement arose speaks for itself.

“ In the & nbsp; question of & nbsp; non-expansion of NATO, most likely, Biden will not give any guarantees to Putin, yes & nbsp; and & nbsp; in & nbsp; whole Ukraine and & nbsp; so & nbsp; already de facto freely & ldquo; mastered & rdquo; the alliance in the & nbsp; military plan. So & nbsp; here we can talk more about & nbsp; agreement on & nbsp; avoidance of incidents like the passage of a British destroyer at & nbsp; Crimean Cape Fiolent, agreements not & nbsp; to place permanent foreign contingents and & nbsp; bases on & nbsp; Ukrainian territory, and & nbsp; to notify them about Ukrainian territory, and & nbsp; ; areas not & nbsp; to enter & nbsp; the space that Russia considers its own, & nbsp; & mdash; in & nbsp; first of all the sea and & nbsp; the sky around & nbsp; Crimea & raquo ;.

At the same time, the sanctions – both existing and announced, including those due to tensions around Ukraine – are unlikely to be discussed in a conversation between the two leaders, this is precisely the instrument of pressure.

“ One of & nbsp; discussed issues will also be mutual restrictions in & nbsp; relation to diplomats. But & nbsp; here, paradoxically, it is more difficult for Biden to act than & nbsp; even with & nbsp; Ukraine. Indeed, in the & nbsp; case of easing the restrictions on & nbsp; he will receive a flurry of criticism from both & nbsp; Republicans and & nbsp; from & nbsp; Democrats & nbsp; & mdash; the measures were introduced as punishment for & nbsp; & ldquo; interference & rdquo; Russia in & nbsp; American elections and & nbsp; are considered by the American establishment, public opinion, and & nbsp; and & nbsp; by Biden himself initially fair. '' who are seen in illegal activities in this area.

Pavel Koshkin, a researcher at the Institute of the United States and & nbsp; Canada, RAS:

“ On & nbsp; Ukraine, Putin and & nbsp; Biden are unlikely & nbsp; will & nbsp; agree. The problem arose not & nbsp; in & nbsp; and & nbsp; has its own long history, from the & nbsp; 1990s, one summit cannot & nbsp; solve it. Most likely, “ red lines '' will be indicated again, firstly, to buy time, and & nbsp; secondly, so as not to & nbsp; not allow slipping down the & nbsp; slope.

There will be no formal compromise in terms of guarantees of NATO's non-expansion to Ukraine and Georgia, but it is possible that Putin and Biden will try to agree on this orally.

“ Putin and & nbsp; Biden will also try to develop the Geneva accords on & nbsp; dialogue in the & nbsp; strategic arms and & nbsp; cyber security, there will be attempts to bring these issues to a & nbsp; new level, and & nbsp; results of & ldquo; audit & rdquo; and & nbsp; assessments of the agreements reached this summer will most likely be positive. The leaders of Russia and the & nbsp; US will try to make progress in all these areas, or at least prepare an agenda for & nbsp; a new personal meeting between Putin and & nbsp; Biden in & nbsp; next year.

Andrey Kortunov, CEO Rossiyskoy International Affairs Council:

& nbsp; At the & nbsp; negotiations, Putin and & nbsp; Biden will consider the achievements and & nbsp; failures of & nbsp; agreements recorded at & nbsp; personal meeting in & nbsp; Geneva. Undoubtedly, much attention will be paid to the conflict in & nbsp; Ukraine, which Biden is going to discuss in detail. ''

The meeting may become an attempt to de-escalate the conflict, activate the Normandy format (Russia, Ukraine, France, Germany) and push the parties to comply with the Minsk agreements.

“ But & nbsp; the Ukrainian problem does not & nbsp; prevail over & nbsp; all the others, and & nbsp; the leaders of the two countries have & nbsp; something else to talk about. These are strategic stability, issues of arms control and & nbsp; cybersecurity & nbsp; & mdash; in a word, the fact that & nbsp; Russia and & nbsp; the United States had to work on the & nbsp; results of Geneva. The leaders of the two countries will also discuss the green agenda and & nbsp; regional issues, in & nbsp; including Syria and & nbsp; Iranian nuclear deal. The conversation between Putin and & nbsp; Biden should become a kind of prelude to & nbsp; a personal meeting of the presidents, which may take place in & nbsp; early 2022 & nbsp ;.

Svetlana Zhurova, First Deputy Chairperson of the State Duma Committee on & nbsp; International Affairs:

“ Of course, one of the & nbsp; main questions of the meeting will concern the fact that & nbsp; NATO is approaching & nbsp; our borders, while & nbsp; and we are & nbsp; and & nbsp; accused of & nbsp; aggression. The question & nbsp; & mdash; who & nbsp; in this case is showing aggression? In addition, there is a separate question about the & nbsp; situation in & nbsp; Ukraine. Here, the & nbsp; American side has a lot of misunderstandings about our position, and & nbsp; we have & nbsp; to talk about. Other than that, of course, there are general questions & nbsp; & mdash; safety, ecology and & nbsp; others. '“ The current situation makes life very difficult, for example, athletes because of & nbsp; non-recognition & ldquo; Sputnik V & rdquo;: they & nbsp; may not & nbsp; be allowed in the & nbsp; USA for & nbsp; competitions with & nbsp; Russian vaccine, or after numerous obstacles to issue a special permit in just a few days & nbsp; before & nbsp; entry. Put & nbsp; same & nbsp; second vaccine on top of & ldquo; Satellite & rdquo; can be unsafe for & nbsp; health. The whole world looks at & nbsp; presidents: if they agree among themselves on & nbsp; this issue, WHO can also make & nbsp; concessions.

First Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Committee on CIS Affairs Konstantin Zatulin:

“ I & nbsp; would consider the emergence of any elements of trust between Russia and & nbsp; the United States as a positive result of the meeting. In & nbsp; recently, international tension has sharply increased, and & nbsp; the campaign against Russia has acquired an unprecedented scale due to & nbsp; the situation with & nbsp; Ukraine.

It seems that this is largely due to the deadlock in the development of Ukraine in its current version, which is being written off to “armed aggression” from Russia.

& quot; We & nbsp; [with & nbsp; USA] do not & nbsp; trust each other. Russian-American relations have reached & nbsp; such a level that & nbsp; any actually achieved result in & nbsp; negotiations can be considered positive. The conversation is not & nbsp; about & nbsp; actions, but & nbsp; about & nbsp; the ability to talk to each other.

Deputy Chairman of the Federation Council Konstantin Kosachev:

& laquo; From & nbsp ; for this meeting of [Putin and & nbsp; Biden] I am looking forward to a serious and & nbsp; responsible conversation between two world leaders who are aware of their responsibility for & nbsp; the state of international relations and & nbsp; are able to advance bilateral relations without & nbsp; look at the & nbsp; political situation. I am sure that & nbsp; the Russian side is ready for this & nbsp ;.

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