Historian Norin: Thousands of dead people will result from a hypothetical war between Russia and Ukraine Ukraine. The Telegram channel Radiotochka NSN writes about this.
In his opinion, the armed conflict will be short, but bloody. He admitted that the development of events “will resemble an enlarged copy of the” five-day war “with Georgia.” The result of this war will be “several thousand dead in a few days, a maximum of a week”, despite the fact that the Ukrainian army is superior to the Georgian one.
Norin noted that so far he does not see the prerequisites for such a clash. However, the expert added, “you have to understand that there are not very sane people on the Ukrainian side now, and anything can happen.”
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Earlier, retired FSB Major General Alexander Mikhailov told Lenta.ru that Ukraine is unlikely will decide to go to war with Russia, since for this it does not have enough resources either in terms of weapons or in terms of the morale of the Armed Forces (AFU). He added that NATO will not stand up for Ukraine, since, according to its charter, it protects only those who are members of the organization.
On November 22, Bloomberg, citing sources in the intelligence services, wrote that in 2022 Russia would attack Ukraine from three sides: from the Crimea peninsula, from the Russian-Ukrainian border and from the territory of Belarus. Also, intelligence officers reported that they had shared the intelligence with their European colleagues. The United States claims that most of the Russian tactical groups are already in their positions. Their advancement will be supported by airstrikes, and the security of their rear services will be ensured by reservists whom Moscow has called on on a “scale unprecedented for the post-Soviet space.” that Russia is preparing to attack Ukraine, for which it is concentrating its military contingent on the borders. The secret service is confident that “Washington officials” are deliberately “intimidating” with Moscow's alleged preparations for an attack on Kiev. In reality, the Russian side has no such plans.