Specialist in defense and national security of the United States, Professor Robert Farley has named five countries and regions, which in 2018 could unleash a Third world war. The list results in the journal The National Interest.
First Farley puts the DPRK due to its development of ballistic missiles. In the event of war it will be involved Japan and China. He also notes that the inexperience of the administration of U.S. President Donald trump made the situation on the Korean Peninsula the most serious foreign policy crisis in the world at the moment.
Second place in your list the Professor gave to Taiwan. He notes that China has strengthened its military presence in the region, despite the protests of the United States, which, in turn, increase the supply of arms to the island.
Third place in the list from the Ukraine. According to Farley, the situation there remains tense because of the constant violations of the truce in the South-East of the country. In addition, the story around Mikheil Saakashvili protests in Kiev testify to the instability of the current government. The worst consequence of its collapse can be the victory of right-wing forces, which will further inflame the conflict in the Donbass, and a full-fledged war between Russia and the West, says the Professor.
Fears Farley also called the situation in Turkey and the whole southern flank of NATO. In his opinion, the estrangement of Ankara from the EU and the USA and rapprochement with Russia lead to a significant change in the balance of forces in the region. This, in turn, will affect the situation in Syria, Iraq, Iran, the Balkans and the Caucasus.
In last place in the list of possible sources of war was the Persian Gulf. Threat Professor found the actions of Saudi Arabia, which openly announced the possibility of creating a military and diplomatic coalition against Iran and announced the possibility to include Israel. Moreover, the Bay is a zone of Russia’s interests, he said.
In General, according to Farley, 2017, the tension of all the world’s conflicts has increased markedly. The only exception is the situation in Syria.
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